They estimate that 70 percent of the long-run mortality decline is attributable to the change in local mortality rate experienced by hurricane victims.ĭespite a high death toll in the immediate aftermath of the storm, Hurricane Katrina reduced long-run mortality among elderly and disabled Medicare beneficiaries by inducing relocation to lower-mortality regions. They find a strong relationship between mortality in the destination region and the movers' mortality - with every one-point increase in the destination mortality rate, there is a 0.8 to 0.9 point increase in the movers' mortality. To explore the role of place in health, the researchers compare mortality outcomes for elderly beneficiaries who left New Orleans for low-mortality regions versus those who left for high-mortality regions. This result is not explained by healthier beneficiaries being more likely to survive the storm, since the calculation includes storm-related deaths. Including the initial storm-related deaths, the hurricane increased the probability of surviving to 2013 by 1.7 percentage points, a nearly 3 percent increase relative to the eight-year survival probability. Most of these excess deaths occurred within a week of the hurricane's landfall.īy contrast, Hurricane Katrina led to sustained mortality reductions over the following eight years for those living in New Orleans at the time of the storm. The researchers find that the mortality rate of the New Orleans beneficiaries was 0.5 percentage points higher in 2005 (the year of the storm), representing an increase of over 10 percent. They compare the mortality outcomes of this group to a comparable group of beneficiaries living in 10 control cities before the storm. Using Medicare administrative data, the researchers identify Medicare beneficiaries living in New Orleans before the storm and track their mobility and mortality over the following eight years. While the storm and subsequent displacement may have been scarring for this group's health in the short term, moving to areas with better economic and health outcomes may have generated long-term health benefits. This vulnerable population was deeply impacted by the hurricane - over one half of those killed by the immediate impact of the storm were over age 75, and elderly Medicare beneficiaries made up one-fifth of the displaced population. 24822), researchers T atyana Deryugina and David Molitor examine the long-run mortality impacts of Hurricane Katrina on the elderly and disabled population of New Orleans. In Does When You Die Depend on Where You Live? Evidence from Hurricane Katrina (NBER Working Paper No. Former New Orleans residents dispersed across the U.S., raising the possibility that local conditions may have affected the health of movers. While the immediate death toll of the storm is well known, the long-term effects of the storm and resulting displacement on health and longevity are less well understood. The 2005 storm killed nearly 2,000 individuals and displaced more than one million residents, resulting in the largest migration of U.S. Hurricane Katrina was the costliest storm of its type to ever strike the U.S. Transportation Economics in the 21st Century.Training Program in Aging and Health Economics.The Roybal Center for Behavior Change in Health.Retirement and Disability Research Center.Measuring the Clinical and Economic Outcomes Associated with Delivery Systems.Improving Health Outcomes for an Aging Population.Early Indicators of Later Work Levels, Disease and Death.Conference on Research in Income and Wealth.Boosting Grant Applications from Faculty at MSIs.

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Hurricane katrina aftermath on people